The Red Sox may have the best record in the AL, but the Tigers have the most talent and the most wins at home. Lackey has shown signs in his last two starts of unraveling and this making his 3rd start on just 4 days rest facing a solid offense like the Tigers is the start I bet he does. 3-6 hitters in the line up are 26-71 against him. In 141 AB he's allowed an OPS of .842 to Tigers hitters. Tigers are scoring over 6 runs at home while the Red Sox are struggling vs. LHP especialy on the road just 3.55 runs per 9 and 1.64 over their last 10 games.

The Tigers will send Jose Alvarez to the mound who was impressive in his first start against the Indians who are ranked 3rd in the league in OPS vs. LHP and now he faces the Sox who are 15th. IN the minors Alvarez has shown he's a 4 pitch pitcher with good control. He's got 9.33 K/9 and just 1.78 BB/9. He should be able to duplicate that early on in the majors until teams start to figure him out. Tigers are 37-14 in their last 51 home vs. RH starter.


Plenty of value here on the Marlins in my opinion. Chad Gaudin makes a start and he's basically a reliever being asked to stretch out in a starter role. The Giants offense has been struggling ever since their key injuries and the Marlins have Tom Koehler on the mound who has decent stuff and has had many quality starts already. It's hard to pass up the Marlins at this price with Gaudin and a banged up offense for the Giants.

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